In the FCS Huddle: Coaches at dropped programs regroup

NCAA Football Betting Lines

09/08/2010 - Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - It's unusual for a 59-year-old man who has spent more than four decades in football to be calling himself an "apprentice" at what he is doing, but Rocky Hager is joking about it today.

This time last year, Hager didn't have a clue that the Northeastern program he guided as head coach would no longer exist. The same can be said for Dave Cohen, who was the head coach at Hofstra.

To this day, anybody connected with either program has a hollow feeling about both schools' decision to drop football following last season.

Affected most dramatically were the coaches and players. Many players transferred to other programs across the country and gained immediate eligibility this season. Cohen landed at Western Michigan as its new defensive coordinator and linebackers coach. Hager, meanwhile, took a step back from coaching and is serving as a technical assistant to Jim Maconaghy, the CAA Football coordinator of officials. Hager's job is to evaluate the performance of officials.

"At this point, I have some Patriot (League) games and I do anticipate that I'll have a couple games in the Ivy (League), primarily evaluating officials, helping to keep things organized there," Hager said. "The (CAA), the Patriot and the Ivy have really good organization to the officiating part. I've always felt very strongly about how they've gone about doing things. And when you watch them on the field, they're disciplined, they're where they belong."

Where the 59-year-old Hager belongs is in football. His entire staff of assistants at Northeastern last season has moved on to coach elsewhere, even if the head man is not himself patrolling the sidelines this fall. Hager hopes to land another position next year, with his preference to remain a head coach.

"I just told somebody, the last time I didn't have fall camp is when I was a senior in high school and that was the fall of 1968," Hager said. "Otherwise I've been involved either playing or coaching since the fourth grade."

A two-time Division II national championship-winning coach at North Dakota State, Hager struggled to revive Northeastern's program in the ultra- competitive CAA. The Huskies' best records in his six seasons were 5-6 overall and 4-4 in conference play, with last year's squad going 3-8 overall and 3-5 in conference games.

But Northeastern's decision to pull the carpet out from under the football program - citing financial concerns and declining attendance - still hurt Hager and the rest of the program.

Hager remained on campus until March 12, helping coaches and players with their decisions and placement in other programs. All he could do was regroup and move forward.

"I understand the numbers as to what the primary factors in the decision for Northeastern University were," Hager said. "I can't tell you that I completely agree with them for the simple reasons that there were a lot of young men that didn't have the opportunity to continue to play, although there's quite a few out there playing right now (at other schools).

"They're virtually all over the place. And then there are some that are still at Northeastern finishing their degree. Of course, the university was very committed [that those who] stayed were going to be able to keep their financial aid until they completed either what would have been the clock on their eligibility or their degree. So there's good involved, but there's still disappointment.

"We made a good run at it. I would have liked to have been able to continue it. I think we were on the brink of going to a much higher level with our program. We had a staff together that was very compatible in the final year and felt really good about how things were going.

"It was traumatic. Probably the hardest thing was seeing 6-foot-6, 300-pound young men just absolutely crying their eyes out. That's gut-wrenching."

Hofstra enjoyed more success in recent years than Northeastern, including 7-4 overall and 4-4 conference records in 2007 - Cohen's third of four seasons at Hofstra. In the Pride's final season last fall, they were 5-6 and 3-5.

Cohen declined an interview request about Hofstra dropping football, choosing to concentrate on Western Michigan's season, which is 0-1 and continues Saturday versus an FCS opponent, visiting Nicholls State.

"I think three things," Cohen told the Kalamazoo Gazette, summing up his coaching philosophies. "No. 1, they have to know you care. If they don't, it's never going to work. No. 2, they have to understand that you're here to get them better. And No. 3, it's going to be our way, that it's not going to be their way.

"But I think you can't get to No. 3 if you don't get to No. 1 first."

NO TIME TO CROWE

Fresh off its 49-48, double-overtime upset at Ole Miss, Jacksonville State comes back to the FCS level for its home opener against Chattanooga on Saturday.

Considering Chattanooga coulda, woulda and shoulda beaten Southern Conference power Appalachian State in its opener - falling 42-41 in a game it led 28-7 - Jacksonville State coach Jack Crowe says, "If there is an ounce of arrogance, we will seek to get it out by Saturday."

Fifth-ranked Jacksonville State, which got a lot of production from two quarterbacks, Marques Ivory and Coty Blanchard against Ole Miss, will dedicate its expanded Burgess-Snow Field before Saturday's game.

"I have watched extensively the game that Chattanooga played with Appalachian State, the number three team in the country and missed three extra points from winning that game," Crowe said. "We are playing the best Chattanooga team that we have ever played and I think we are playing the best quarterback (B.J. Coleman) that we will face this season. He is superb and I don't see why he is not playing quarterback at Tennessee because that is where he transferred from. We have a challenge of controlling a well-oiled offense. We made enough mistakes on both sides of the ball that will get you beat. We are a team of destiny if what I saw in that locker room after the game on Saturday, but destiny can slip right through our fingers if we don't handle it the right way."

LET'S GET IT STARTED

The two teams in The Sportsbook Betting Lines/Fathead.com FCS Top 25 that did not play last week are both from the Missouri Valley Football Conference, No. 9 South Dakota State and No. 14 Northern Iowa. Each opens play on Saturday.

South Dakota State plays in arguably the best FCS matchup of the weekend, a visit to No. 16 Delaware for their first-ever meeting. Northern Iowa opens at home, but gets a little more than it bargained for after watching North Dakota State go to the University of Kansas and win 6-3 last Saturday.

"I think the environment that we're going to play in Cedar Falls is going to be much more of a hostile environment than Memorial Stadium in Kansas. That was pretty docile," North Dakota State coach Craig Bohl said. "And the type of team that we're going to be playing is going to be a much more physical, aggressive football team than KU. And quite frankly I think we're going to be playing a better opponent. I know one school is in the Big 12 and the other one is in the Missouri Valley. I think that gives an indication on how we see Missouri Valley play and the respect we give Northern Iowa."

THE NEXT MAJOR UPSET?

Out in the Big Sky Conference, the feeling is Montana State can be this weekend's slayer of an FBS program as the Bobcats visit struggling Washington State. The Cougars of the Pac-10 were 1-11 last season and fell 65-17 at Oklahoma State to open this season.

The 24th-ranked Bobcats trail 8-0 in the series, but have the physical style and strong rushing defense to warrant thoughts of another FCS upset. Their last win over an FBS team came against Colorado in 2006.

Junior college transfer Orenzo Davis rushed for 85 yards and a touchdown in Montana State's 59-10, season-opening win over Fort Lewis. The Bobcats start a freshman, Denarius McGhee, at quarterback, which could factor in against an FBS team. They have experienced QB Cody Kempt backing up McGhee.

TAKE IT EASY

As Villanova won its first FCS national title last season, it ranked fourth nationally with 240.3 rushing yards per game. All-CAA first-team quarterback Chris Whitney led the way with 987 yards on 203 carries, rushing for six touchdowns.

The senior has returned this season with more command of the offense, and he was efficient in Villanova's 31-24, season-opening loss to Temple. But the Wildcats might use him less in the rushing game to decrease the chance of injury.

The Wildcats have only one other scholarship quarterback on their roster, true freshman Dustin Thomas. Yikes!

"With Chris we didn't run a lot of option against them," head coach Andy Talley said. "We just really felt like we wanted to keep him as healthy as we could. He does have a bad back. It's something he's been laboring with all summer. So we really are trying to limit his reps in the running game"

Whitney had nine carries for 29 yards against Temple. He completed 17-of-25 passes for 133 yards and two touchdowns with one interception.

Villanova is well-stocked in the run game as its second-, third- and fourth- leading rushers also returned this season. Matt Szczur, Aaron Ball and Angelo Babbaro combined for 2,049 yards and 22 touchdowns on the ground last season.

The second-ranked Wildcats visit Lehigh on Saturday.

WHEN EAGLES DON'T TAKE FLIGHT

As first-year head coach Jeff Monken brings the triple option back to former national power Georgia Southern - after recent seasons of a spread attack - the Eagles got great first signs against Savannah State, rushing for 431 yards and six touchdowns in a 48-3 win. Fullback Robert Brown's 122 yards and a TD on 20 carries led the way.

On Saturday, the six-time FCS national champions (most recently in 1999 and 2000 when Monken was a Georgia Southern assistant coach) get a more formidable assignment for their retooling process. It basically comes against a mirror image in Navy, whose commitment to the run is on an even higher level.

"The schemes are very similar. What they try to do with the football and what we try to do with the football, and how we try to accomplish gaining yards in the running game are very similar," Monken said. "However, they are much more efficient at it than we are. They've been doing it a lot longer. Those kids in that program have not ever done anything else on offense but that offense. So they're a lot more grooved in and a lot more efficient. And we're going to have to be able to gain yards on them, be more efficient than we were on Saturday night in terms of our assignments and our efforts and those things in order to beat a very good Navy team."

CHRISTIAN ANTHONY UPDATE

It still appears unlikely Grambling State senior defensive end Christian Anthony will play this season, but the FCS' most dominant defensive lineman has been working out on his own following his hospitalization last month for chest pains, which apparently amounted to a minor heart attack.

Anthony remains in good spirits and is taking classes at Grambling State. He hasn't had any chest pains since his release from the hospital.

Anthony was the 2009 Southwestern Athletic Conference Defensive Player of the Year and made The Sportsbook Betting Lines All-America First Team. He was fourth in the voting for the Buck Buchanan Award, which honors the top defensive player in the FCS.

THIS, THAT AND THE OTHER

The potential Legacy Bowl that could bring the winners of the MEAC and SWAC back together after the regular season remains on hold. MEAC schools, which still send their champion to the FCS playoffs, decided to postpone a vote this fall regarding whether they should give up their automatic bid for a likely more lucrative payday against the SWAC ... Speaking of the nation's Historically Black Colleges and Universities, Tennessee State seems ready for a successful season under new coach Rod Reed. The Tigers, a winner of 14 Black College national titles, long ago moved on to the Ohio Valley Conference but still play four of their first five games against MEAC and SWAC teams, including Jackson State on Saturday in the Southern Heritage Classic in Memphis, Tenn. ... Dominic who? No, nobody at Holy Cross is saying that about three-time Patriot League Offensive Player of the Year Dominic Randolph. But new quarterback Ryan Taggart got off to a big start this season by completing 17-of-29 passes for 186 yards and three touchdown passes against Howard in a 38-7 Crusaders' win ... Linebacker Jeffery Williams made a triumphant return to the Garder-Webb lineup last Saturday against Brevard, collecting 19 tackles and The Sportsbook Betting Lines/Fathead.com FCS National Defensive Player of the Week award while helping to put an injury-plagued 2009 behind him. But Williams doesn't have Marty Patterson by his side because the preseason All-America is sidelined for the season by a labrum tear in his hip caused by an irregular structure of his hip socket, which he was born with. Tough break for the Runnin' Bulldogs ... Another preseason All-America linebacker, William & Mary's Jake Trantin, is expected back in the lineup against VMI after missing last Saturday's 27-23 loss at Massachusetts because of a concussion suffered in practice last week ... Stephen F. Austin quarterback Jeremy Moses became the Southland Conference's all-time leader in completions last Saturday against Texas A&M, upping his career total to 867 passes ... Cancel the rest of the Rocky Mountain Athletic Conference season, the Big Sky Conference apparently locked up the title last weekend. The conference unmercifully beat four teams from the Division II conference by a combined score of 233-12 ... Saturday's games will be on the ninth anniversary of 9/11.

JUST THE PICKS

Last Week's and Season Record: 76-10 (.884)

X=projected winner

Saturday, Sept. 11 Bentley at X-Central Connecticut State, noon Gardner-Webb at X-Akron, noon South Dakota at X-Minnesota, noon Illinois State at X-Northwestern, noon Texas Southern at X-Connecticut, noon X-Dayton at Duquesne, noon X-Robert Morris at Sacred Heart, noon Western Illinois at X-Purdue, noon (2) X-Villanova at Lehigh, noon St. Francis, Pa., at X-Morehead State, 1 p.m. Lambuth at X-Georgia State, 1 p.m. Saint Anselm at X-Bryant, 1 p.m. Maine at X-Monmouth, 1 p.m. (9) X-South Dakota State at (16) Delaware, 1 p.m. X-Old Dominion at Campbell, 1 p.m. X-Hampton at Howard, 1 p.m. (6) New Hampshire at X-Pittsburgh, 1 p.m. Valparaiso at X-Franklin, 1:30 p.m. X-Wofford at Charleston Southern, 1:30 p.m. (12) James Madison at X-Virginia Tech, 1:30 p.m. (25) Colgate at X-Furman, 2 p.m. Central Arkansas at (23) X-Eastern Illinois, 2:30 p.m. Presbyterian at X-Clemson, 3:30 p.m. Eastern Kentucky at X-Louisville, 3:30 p.m. Jacksonville at (3) X-Appalachian State, 3:30 p.m. Georgia Southern at X-Navy, 3:30 p.m. X-Fort Valley State at Savannah State, 4 p.m. North Carolina A&T at X-Norfolk State, 4 p.m. Mississippi Valley State at (15) X-South Carolina State, 6 p.m. Butler at X-Youngstown State, 6 p.m. Tusculum at X-Western Carolina, 6 p.m. Morgan State at X-Maryland, 6 p.m. X-Rhode Island at Fordham, 6 p.m. Holy Cross at (18) X-Massachusetts, 6 p.m. X-Samford at Northwestern State, 6 p.m. X-Florida A&M at Delaware State, 6 p.m. American International at X-Stony Brook, 6 p.m. X-Winston-Salem State at North Carolina Central, 6 p.m. Bucknell at X-Marist, 6 p.m. Georgetown at X-Lafayette, 6 p.m. Shaw at (8) X-Elon, 7 p.m. North Dakota at X-Northern Illinois, 7 p.m. Webber at X-Lamar, 7 p.m. Austin Peay at X-Middle Tennessee, 7 p.m. X-Southeast Missouri State at Murray State, 7 p.m. UT Martin at X-Southeast Louisiana, 7 p.m. Albany at (10) X-Stephen F. Austin, 7 p.m. (22) Prairie View A&M at X-Southern Mississippi, 7 p.m. Southern Arkansas at X-Texas State, 7 p.m. Nicholls State at X-Western Michigan, 7 p.m. (24) Montana State at X-Washington State, 7 p.m. Jackson State at X-Tennessee State, 7 p.m. Davidson at X-Lenoir-Rhyne, 7 p.m. Arkansas-Monticello at X-Southern U., 7 p.m. X-Wagner at Assumption, 7 p.m. VMI at (11) X-William & Mary, 7 p.m. Coastal Carolina at X-Towson, 7 p.m. Chattanooga at (5) X-Jacksonville State, 7 p.m. (13) McNeese State at X-Missouri, 7 p.m. (19) Liberty at X-Ball State, 7 p.m. Tennessee Tech at X-TCU, 7 p.m. Central State at X-Alabama A&M, 7 p.m. Missouri State at X-Kansas State, 7 p.m. (4) Southern Illinois at X-Illinois, 7:30 p.m. (21) North Dakota State at (14) X-Northern Iowa, 7:37 p.m. San Diego at X-Southern Utah, 8 p.m. X-Arkansas-Pine Bluff at Alabama State, 8 p.m. X-Drake at Missouri S&T, 8 p.m. Idaho State at X-Utah State, 8 p.m. Northern Colorado at (20) X-Weber State, 8:05 p.m. Portland State at X-UC Davis, 9 p.m. Central Washington at (17) X-Eastern Washington, 9 p.m. (1) X-Montana at Cal Poly, 9:05 p.m. Western Oregon at X-Sacramento State, 9:05 p.m. The Citadel at X-Arizona, 10 p.m. Northern Arizona at X-Arizona State, 10 p.m.

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Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting

So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.

Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?

If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)

Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).

In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.

Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.

The Bubble Breakdown
CONFERENCE LOCKS SHOULD BE INS AT-LARGES TAKEN
(assuming no auto bid outlier)
ACC Betting Odds 6 0 5
Big East Betting Odds 5 0 4
Big Ten Betting Odds 2 2 3
Big 12 Betting Odds 3 0 2
Pac-10 Betting Odds 5 1 5
SEC Betting Odds 4 0 3
MVC Betting Odds 1 1 1
MWC Betting Odds 2 1 2
TOTAL 28 5 25

As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.

(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)

If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.

Atlantic Coast Conference

Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech

The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.

 

Work left to do:

Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.

Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).

Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.

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Elite 8 NCAA Tournament Betting at online sportsbook MySportsbook.com

In what should be an outstanding Saturday of March Madness betting action, the top four teams in the South and West Regions square off in what should be extremely close match-ups. Three of the four teams are coming off extremely close games on Thursday evening, only UCLA won semi comfortably over Pitt 64-55.

Ohio State is coming off their second game in a row where in all reality they should have lost. Of course that doesn’t matter now since the name of the game is “survive and advance” but as the tournament continues, they can’t afford to keep getting down to their opponents early. Kansas also avoided a scare by holding off a scrappy Southern Illinois squad. In the third thrilling game of the evening Memphis pulled off the minor upset (+3.5) despite being the higher seed to Texas A&M.

Although the spreads are fairly small for Saturday’s games, MySportsbook.com continue to bet against the underdogs. Despite OSU’s two scares, 86% of the “betting public” feels the Buckeyes (-1.5) have what it takes to make the Final Four. In fact, so much of the early money is on OSU that the line has already moved from -1 to -1.5. In the second game of the doubleheader, Kansas and their high-powered offense are 2 point favorites as they take on UCLA and their effective defense. About 63% of the early money thus far is once again backing the favorites. If those percentages stay that high, don’t be surprised if this line moves as well. If you like Kansas (-2) you might want to jump on it early.

Memphis vs. Ohio State

Both squads were involved in thrillers on Thursday evening and should come out fired up. OSU can ill afford to get behind early like they did versus their previous two opponents (Xavier, Tennessee). Greg Oden needs to stay out of foul trouble; the Buckeyes are a completely different team when he is on the court. Memphis definitely has the athleticism and length to match-up with OSU. Of Memphis’ five leading minute earners, the shortest of the bunch is 6’5”. Each team has a very effective defense; Memphis surrenders 62.3 PPG whereas the Buckeyes give up only 61 PPG. With those type of numbers, it isn’t surprising that Memphis covered the UNDER almost 69% of the time this season. As a favorite, OSU has covered the UNDER almost 66% of the time over the last three seasons. The major concern for Memphis which is magnifies this time of the year is their brutal foul shooting (62%). This season, OSU is 17-11 ATS versus teams with a winning record and 7-2 ATS in all tournament games. Memphis has been an extremely reliable cover in tournament play in recent years with a 23-8 ATS record over the last three seasons.

UCLA vs. Kansas

In the second game of Saturday’s doubleheader, UCLA will play in a role which they are very unfamiliar with that of the underdog. Only twice this season have they been getting points from the handicappers and both times they covered. Over the last three seasons UCLA is a reliable 23-7 ATS in this unfamiliar role. UCLA has not fared well against Big 12 opponents recently going 1-7 ATS since 1997. Giving up only 59.6 PPG, UCLA will definitely look to do what they do best: keep this game as low scoring as possible. Their defense has been especially tough during the tournament. UCLA opponents have been able to muster up only 48.7 PPG while shooting a combined 34.5% from the field. UCLA definitely has a challenge at hand with a Kansas team that is capable of putting points on the board in bunches. As a team, they average 79 PPG and shoot an impressive 49.6% from the field and 39.4% from beyond the arc. During the tournament Kansas has been “lights out” from the field having shot 56.2%.

With Friday -105 juice on Basketball betting, MySportsbook.com is the place to bet on all of the “March Madness” action.  Don’t forget to monitor who the public is backing at MySportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends”.  By doing so, you have the best chance of predicting a possible line change, thus getting the best value for your wager.

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